Home wins a no brainer

Western Province and the Sharks will win their home Currie Cup semi-finals. The All Blacks will also beat the Wallabies in Dunedin.

The Stormers and Western Province, have a history of blowing home play-off matches. Province lost at home in 2004 and 2005 and against the Bulls in 2009. In 2010 WP did beat the Cheetahs at Newlands.

The Stormers have lost home Super Rugby semi finals in 1999, 2011 and 2012. In 2010 they beat the Waratahs.

History won’t repeat itself on Saturday. Western Province will win.

Province’s defensive structure will be too disciplined against a Lions team that plays expressive rugby but has a disregard for defence and discipline.

The Sharks have too much pedigree in their starting XV to lose at home against the Cheetahs, whose season will end, as it did in the Super Rugby season, with an away play-off defeat.

I can’t see anything but an All Blacks win in Dunedin but it won’t be by much. I just don’t see how the All Blacks can actually be that motivated after the high of Ellis Park. It really is an ‘after the fact’ match that should not be played if the Bledisloe Cup has already been won.

Gary Lemke on who the bookies are backing

SA Rugbymag’s Jon Cardinelli previews WP v Lions

SA Rugbymag’s Jon Cardinelli previews Sharks v Cheetahs

Western Province – 15 Gio Aplon, 14 Gerhard van den Heever, 13 Jean de Villiers, 12 Damian de Allende, 11 Cheslin Kolbe, 10 Demetri Catrakilis, 9 Louis Schreuder, 8 Duane Vermeulen, 7 Siya Kolisi, 6 Deon Fourie (c), 5 De Kock Steenkamp, 4 Eben Etzebeth, 3 Pat Cilliers, 2 Scarra Ntubeni, 1 Steven Kitshoff.
Subs: 16 Frans Malherbe, 17 Brok Harris, 18 Michael Rhodes, 19 Schalk Burger, 20 Nic Groom, 21 Kurt Coleman, 22 Juan de Jongh.

Golden Lions – 15 Marnitz Boshoff, 14 Chrysander Botha, 13 Lionel Mapoe, 12 Andries Coetzee, 11 Anthony Volmink, 10 Elton Jantjies, 9 Ross Cronjé, 8 Warren Whiteley, 7 Derick Minnie (c), 6 Jaco Kriel, 5 Franco van der Merwe, 4 Chris van Zyl, 3 Ruan Dreyer, 2 Willie Wepener, 1 CJ van der Linde.
Subs: 16 Robbie Coetzee, 17 Jacques van Rooyen, 18 Julian Redelinghuys, 19 Willie Britz, 20 Warwick Tecklenburg, 21 Tian Meyer, 22 Robert de Bruyn.

Kick-off: 14.30

Sharks – 15 SP Marais, 14 Odwa Ndungane, 13 Louis Ludik, 12 Frans Steyn, 11 Lwazi Mvovo, 10 Pat Lambie, 9 Charl McLeod, 8 Keegan Daniel (c), 7 Jean Deysel, 6 Marcell Coetzee, 5 Pieter-Steph du Toit, 4 Peet Marais, 3 Wiehahn Herbst, 2 Bismarck du Plessis, 1 Tendai Mtawarira.
Subs: 16 Kyle Cooper, 17 Danie Mienie, 18 Stephan Lewies, 19 Jacques Botes, 20 Cobus Reinach, 21 Fred Zeilinga, 22 Heimar Williams.

Free State Cheetahs – 15 Hennie Daniller, 14 Riaan Smit, 13 Johann Sadie, 12 Robert Ebersohn, 11 Raymond Rhule, 10 Elgar Watts, 9 Sarel Pretorius, 8 Philip van der Walt, 7 Lappies Labuschagne, 6 Boom Prinsloo, 5 Lood de Jager, 4 Francois Uys, 3 Trevor Nyakane, 2 Adriaan Strauss (c), 1 Coenie Oosthuizen.
Subs: 16 Hercu Liebenberg, 17 Schalk van der Merwe, 18 Teboho Mohoje, 19 Freddie Ngoza, 20 Piet van Zyl, 21 Johan Goosen, 22 Rayno Benjamin.

Kick-off 17.10